If an industry analysis of the telecom sector in India is done, it would show the cut-throat competition that is going on for subscribers between the existing players. There are 11 existing players in the telecom space already namely Vodafone-Essar, Airtel, Aircel, Idea Cellular, Tata Indicom, RCom, Loop Mobile, Spice Telecom, Virgin Mobile, BSNL, MTNL. The industry has high entry barriers with the requirement of huge infrastructure, massive promotion due to numerous players resulting in high spending and almost commoditization of telecom services (we will discuss the commoditization aspect later). Apart from this, the high amount that is needed for buying the all too sparse spectrum. There are high exit barriers. The average revenue per user (ARPU) is one of the lowest in India resulting in red lines for the telecom companies.
Yet new entrants are planning to enter India with 3-4 big players namely Shyam Telecom in JV with Russia based Sistema, Unitech Wireless with Norway based Telenor and UAE based Etisalat going it alone soon to launch their services in this already congested market.
The huge untapped market potential has all these players wanting to enter the telecom bandwagon with an eye of the future when 3G services will bring in the revenue and profits. The only motive of these operators now is to increase subscribers. The existing players and the new entrants do not have much different to offer in terms of services. The only service they had to offer was voice-calls and SMSes. It has made a commodity of the voice-call or sms. Value-Added Services (VAS) which get the revenues for operators in other developed markets has yet to evolve in India. Partly because of its high cost to the customer and the sophisticated high-end cell phones required for accessing these VASes. Thus the only aspect they can fight is in terms of pricing. The Indian market is price sensitive in various products/ services and it is no different here. This has resulted in price wars, thus bleeding the already losing operators.
Tata DoCoMo with its GSM service was the first to launch ‘per-second-billing’ plan. This was immediately followed by Aircel immediately when they launched the 123 billing plan where after the third minute, the STD call would have local rates. As soon as Tata DoCoMo aggressively pursued the per-second billing plan, others had to follow suit to be in the race and not allow DoCoMo to run amok with subscribers. Airtel, Vodafone, Idea, BSNL, RCom too slashed rates and the tariffs fell to a world record low of 1 paise per second. With these new plans in place and mobile number portability to follow, a lot of churn might happen and telecom analysts predict a reduction of about 15% in revenues for existing telecom operators. The financial markets have taken note of it and scrips of many a telcos have taken a severe beating with Bharti-Airtel taking the brunt of it. The customers are benefiting from the price wars but it is profusely bleeding the already bleeding telcos. When will this blood bath end?
A time will come when price would cease to be a factor. Differentiation would have to be actually done in services offered. But in the mean time, telcos will have to bear the harsh competition. May be consolidation would be the order of the day in the coming 3-4 quarters.
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