Showing posts with label Booz Allen Hamilton. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Booz Allen Hamilton. Show all posts

Saturday, January 1, 2011

The ‘Elusive’ Indian premium brand:

Can you think of an Indian brand which commands a ‘premium’ tag? Let me define a premium brand first. A brand which commands a price higher than its immediate competition and is bought more for its intangible benefits than attributes. Agreed. There are some brands. But would it stand the test when confronted with international competition? At least I could not find any such Indian brand.

A similar problem with all the emerging nations. Less said about the under developed nations, the better. China and India have always fought international competition based on price. They have been few times, if any, when they have talked of quality or snob value. India or China has never had the technological wherewithal or resources in terms of money. Let’s talk of India.

The Indian consumer after independence through to the nineties was bought up on self-sufficiency and socialism of the Nehruvian era and then the Indira Gandhi era of nationalization. Conspicuous consumption was frowned upon and would attract the eye of the taxman. No wonder India has the highest savings rate along with China. It is only after the liberalization process started in 1992 that Indian masses got the resources and options to spend. 2000s saw the start of the consumption cycle. With easily available financing options and plastic money to fuel demand, consumerism had finally arrived in India, much to the satisfaction of MNCs. The urban middle class soon found surplus money with increasing salaries of IT, pharma, services industry employees finding their way into the mushrooming malls. With an urge to show their arrival on the ‘richness’ scale, people splurged as if there was no tomorrow.

Thus we saw major international brands such as Tissot, Rolex for watches, designer apparels, bags, shoes from renowned designers such as Gucci, Jimmy Choo, Louis Vuitton, hospitality giants such as Marriotts, Hyatts among others. Indian domestic brands obviously could not fight these acclaimed international labels on snob value. The only option remaining was to fight on price to drive volumes and be profitable. We saw Videocon taking on the Sony, Samsung, LG in consumer electronics; Maruti Suzuki taking on Hyundai, Ford, Fiat, and lately Skoda, GM among others in cars. Even now we have Tata Nano as the world’s cheapest car fighting on price. Although it has been touted as an innovation to cater to the bottom of the pyramid consumer, it still fights on price.

Moving from consumer goods, even the commodities such as steel, cement, food (sugar, rice, wheat, meat) are exported based on price difference rather than its high quality or rare sweetness and exquisite taste or looks (specific to flowers). I am not questioning the quality here but just the business appeal for a prospective customer.

India’s real tryst with a premium brand came when Tatas took over iconic and marquee brands Jaguar and Land Rover. They have retained the names and not added Tata to the newest family member because the primary market of these brands is Europe and Americas, and Tata isn’t even a renowned name in cars, let alone a premium name. Woodland is an Indian brand which can be considered as a premium Indian brand but not compared to its international counterparts such as Adidas, Nike, and Reebok. It should be given its due though because it has all the makings to take the brand global. I doubt how many Indians know that it is an Indian brand. Credit should be given to its international type of communication in TVCs, print and online media where it has international models as its ambassadors.

Indian motorbike companies such as Bajaj Auto, Hero Honda, TVS, it would take a lot of effort to become a premium brand since majority of their offerings are for the mass markets in India and abroad. Same is the case with the car maker Maruti Suzuki, and Tata motors. Maruti Suzuki has been successful in the last decade or so in scaling up till only the 8 lakh car. Ditto Tata Motors. It has yet to take on the 10 lakh plus luxury car segment comprising of the Skodas, Volkswagens, Toyotas and the super luxurious Mercedeses or BMWs.

The IT sector is famous the world over yet Infosys or TCS or Wipro isn’t considered as an innovative brand. Google, Oracle, Microsoft, Yahoo, SAP are brands due to their innovation. The Indian brands are still fighting on price. But now we hear talk of Infosys trying to move beyond just the IT solutions and get into consultancy which would make them in direct competition with heavy weight such as Accenture, BCG, Booz, Allen Hamilton, and other. Of course, competing with them would need another decade of experience but at least there is a start.

There have been a spate of acquisitions in the last decade by Tatas, Birlas, Ambanis, Mallyas and others which would hold us in good stead to get an Indian premium brand. Till then that premium Indian brand remains elusive.

Thursday, November 18, 2010

Consulting companies- how can they predict the unpredictable?

Consulting companies such as McKinsey, Boston Consulting Group, Booz and Company, Bain and Company to name a few have built they reputation among the industry for their foresight and solutions. There is no question or credibility crisis as far as the solutions that have helped companies tide over their problems is concerned but I have a slight problem when it is related to research and prediction. The prediction can be of demand, supply, trends, consumer behaviour, market share et al.

A recent report by research firm Booz & Company, shared exclusively with Economic Times talks of the change in consumer behaviour. A marked change from thrifty behaviour during and post the 2008 recession to increased conspicuous consumption in the third quarter of 2010 on the back of increased salaries and better economic prospects. No problem with the consulting companies for me. It starts when they predict that the “India’s upper middle class —those with an annual income between 5 lakh and 10 lakh — will grow to 30 million people by 2020 as the economy keeps growing at a healthy rate”. My doubt is that how is it possible to predict a ‘probable number’ 10 years hence when economic fundamentals are so intricately linked to the world markets that there are constant changes. Analysts might say that it is just indicative rather than absolute. Agreed.

But what is the point of such a prediction when the world changes every quarter.



The report goes on to mention about the “FMCG industry could grow at a base rate of about 17% annually to become a 6,20,000-crore industry by 2020”. GDP figures on growth vary per quarter. How can an industry grow constantly in such a scenario? The FMCG industry depends on so many external factors namely the consumer sentiment, income levels, demand supply gap, increased competition from foreign as well as low cost local players (in the Indian context). FDI in retail acts as an indirect factor which bears significant weight due to behemoths such as Carrefour, Wal-Mart and Metro standing in queue to enter India. It bears so much on government policies. FDI, competition law, monopolies act etc. which is so much unpredictable

The concern which I share here is not about the veracity of the report or the credibility of the consulting company. It is about the relevance of such a prediction in volatile markets. Based on such estimates, whatever is the probable value, companies investing or strategizing with the information in mind would take a risk which would have the highest risk factor. As some one famously said “the only constant is change”. And predict at your own peril.